Broiler production expected to increase

Chickens lay eggs of different colors primarily due to their genetics. (Laura McKenzie/Texas A&M AgriLife)

Broiler production was forecast to be higher for 2025, according to the July World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report.

The report, which is issued by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, noted that broiler production was raised for the second and third quarters based on higher weights.

The report estimates 47,690 million pounds will be produced, which was up from 47,580 million pounds predicted a month ago. In 2024, broiler production was 46,994 million pounds.

The report noted that turkey production was lowered primarily on recent production and hatchery data. Turkey production on an annual basis was estimated at 4,796 million pounds, which compared to 4,806 million pounds the previous month. A year ago, about 5,121 million pounds was produced from turkey operations.

Egg production was also lowered on the recent hatchery data. The total egg production is now estimated at 8,614 million dozen eggs compared to 8,649 million eggs a month ago. In 2024, farmers produced 9,017 million eggs.

Broiler exports were reduced for 2025 and 2026 because of international competition from exporters in key markets. No changes were made for export forecasts for turkey production in 2025 or 2026.

Broiler price forecast was raised for the third quarter on recent price strength and is now at 135 cents a pound and is expected to finish the fourth quarter at 134 cents a pound to provide an annual projection of 133.9 cents a pound. The price in the first quarter is estimated at 134 cents a pound. The turkey price forecast for 2025 was raised on tightening supplies, which is expected to carry through the remainder of the year. The price was estimated at 130 cents a pound for the next two quarters.

The first-quarter estimate in 2026 for turkeys was 115 cents a pound.

Egg prices were increased in the third and fourth quarters of 2025 on strengthening demand for shell eggs and tighter supplies on lower production, the WASDE reported noted. The egg prices are estimated for 300 cents a dozen for the third quarter and 335 cents a dozen for the fourth quarter. For 2026, the egg price forecast for the first quarter is 250 cents a dozen.

For 2026, broiler, turkey and egg production forecasts are unchanged when compared to the previous month. Those categories show 48,100 million pounds, 5,080 million pounds, and 9,175 million dozen eggs, respectively.

The USDA’s Egg Markets Overview report for July 11, said demand for shelled eggs improved slightly over July 4 holiday weekend as consumers continued to respond to attractively priced retail specials.

“Grocers have been actively promoting shell eggs over the past few weeks in sharp contrast to earlier in the year when reduced supplies forced most to forego promotions while struggling to simply maintain a consistent offering,” the Egg Market Overview stated.

No additional outbreaks of highly pathogenic influenza were reported in the past week. HPAI in commercial table egg laying flocks have resulted in the depopulation of 36.3 million birds since Jan. 1, according to USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service.

Wholesale prices for national trading of truck-lot quantities of graded, loose, white large shell eggs increased 14 cents to $2.70 per dozen with a firm undertone, the Egg Markets Overview noted.

Dave Bergmeier can be reached at 620-227-1822 or [email protected].